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Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-111/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -111.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.7 targets.When talking about air yards, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the towering 88th percentile among running backs last year, totaling a monstrous 2.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).Jahmyr Gibbs places in the 96th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) with a superb 20.5 figure last year.Jahmyr Gibbs grades out as one of the top pass-catching running backs last year, averaging an impressive 29.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.The Packers pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 7.01 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 5th-fewest in the league.The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in defending receivers.
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