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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.

With a sizeable 52.8% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.

In this game, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 96th percentile among running backs with 4.8 targets.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 28.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a meaningful progression in his receiving ability over last season's 21.0 mark.

Jahmyr Gibbs's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 73.7% to 80.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 57.3% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.2 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: fewest in the league.

Jahmyr Gibbs has put up a feeble -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

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