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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a colossal 60.4 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.2 per game) last year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to earn 5.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • With a bad 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (23rd percentile) last year, Jahmyr Gibbs places among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to running backs.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs grades out as one of the worst RBs in football at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 4.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 5th percentile.
  • The Rams defense has surrendered the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 21.0) to running backs last year.
  • Last year, the imposing Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing running backs: a puny 6.9 YAC.

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