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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to accumulate 14.4 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 85th percentile for carries this year, taking on 55.1% of the workload in his offense's running game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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