Jahmyr Gibbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2026 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Jahmyr Gibbs to earn 15.8 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 58.3% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
The Chicago defensive tackles rank as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous -10.5-point underdog this week.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to run on 39.7% of their downs: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

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