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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to garner 15.9 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 88th percentile for carries this year, taking on 57.8% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run on 38.2% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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