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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 42.2% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-most run-heavy team in football has been the Lions.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among running backs with 13.7 rush attempts.
  • Out of all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the 85th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 54.5% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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