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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 7th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Jahmyr Gibbs to accumulate 11.7 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the 83rd percentile for carries this year, accounting for 48.7% of the workload in his offense's running game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to run on 39.8% of their downs: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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