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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+500/-630).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +550 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • After totaling 13.0 air yards per game last season, Jahan Dotson has shown good development this season, currently sitting at 27.0 per game.
  • Jahan Dotson's 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a remarkable improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 59.3% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the most run-focused offense in football near the end zone (53.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on the back of Jahan Dotson's trading card this year.

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