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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+750/-1150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +850 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +750.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Jahan Dotson has accumulated many more air yards this season (33.0 per game) than he did last season (13.0 per game).

Jahan Dotson's 21.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 13.4.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 53.2% red zone run rate.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

Jahan Dotson has not scored a TD through the air this year.

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