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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-4400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The projections expect the Eagles to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.5 plays per game.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Rams run defense has conceded a meager 0.68 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 49.8% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

With a middling 1.6% Red Zone Target Rate (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Jahan Dotson ranks as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the goal line in the league.

Jahan Dotson's 14.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in football: 25th percentile for wideouts.

Since the start of last season, Jahan Dotson has not caught any receiving TDs since the start of last season.

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