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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+830/-1200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • After totaling 13.0 air yards per game last season, Jahan Dotson has made big progress this season, currently pacing 22.0 per game.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At the moment, the most run-focused team in football in the red zone (53.5% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

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