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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+840/-980).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -980.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • After accumulating 13.0 air yards per game last year, Jahan Dotson has seen a big uptick this year, now boasting 23.0 per game.
  • The Eagles O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • This year, the shaky Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded a monstrous 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 4th-largest rate in football.
  • The Commanders defense has surrendered the 7th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 1.07 per game this year.
  • The Commanders safeties project as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (53.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.

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