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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+610/-1100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.1 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • After averaging 13.0 air yards per game last season, Jahan Dotson has seen a big uptick this season, currently sitting at 24.0 per game.
  • Jahan Dotson's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 59.3% to 66.1%.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the league versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (75.7% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the poor Bears defense has yielded a monstrous 1.27 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.
  • The model projects the Eagles as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 52.3% red zone run rate.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

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