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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+980/-1100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • After totaling 13.0 air yards per game last season, Jahan Dotson has posted big gains this season, now pacing 25.0 per game.
  • This year, the porous Lions defense has yielded a whopping 1.44 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-worst rate in football.
  • The Lions linebackers project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 4th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 52.5% red zone run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 126.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume.

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