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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-1350).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1350.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • After accumulating 13.0 air yards per game last year, Jahan Dotson has seen marked improvement this year, now pacing 28.0 per game.
  • Jahan Dotson's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 59.3% to 66.1%.
  • This year, the deficient Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a massive 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 52.2% red zone run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in football.

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