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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +205 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • While Jahan Dotson has been responsible for 6.1% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Philadelphia's pass game in this contest at 14.5%.
  • Jahan Dotson's 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a remarkable improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 59.3% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
  • The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 8th-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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