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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+196/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +196.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Jahan Dotson's 21.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 13.4.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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