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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-222/+170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +180 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • This year, the shaky Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded a monstrous 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 4th-largest rate in football.
  • The Commanders safeties project as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.
  • With a feeble 5.7% Target Share (24th percentile) this year, Jahan Dotson places among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.
  • Jahan Dotson is positioned as one of the weakest pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a measly 1.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 15th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

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