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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -238 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.1 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Jahan Dotson's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 59.3% to 66.2%.
  • The Bears pass defense has given up the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.6%) versus wide receivers this year (66.6%).
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Chicago's group of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.
  • The model projects the Eagles as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

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