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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.
  • Jahan Dotson has accumulated many more air yards this season (33.0 per game) than he did last season (13.0 per game).
  • Jahan Dotson's 21.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 13.4.
  • The New York Giants defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (167.0) versus wide receivers this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.
  • The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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