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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • After accumulating 13.0 air yards per game last year, Jahan Dotson has seen marked improvement this year, now pacing 28.0 per game.
  • Jahan Dotson's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 59.3% to 66.1%.
  • Jahan Dotson's 9.6 adjusted yards per target this season marks a substantial improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 6.6 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
  • The Packers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts this year, giving up 7.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in football.

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