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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the predictive model to call 65.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles last year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).

Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered a colossal 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 9th-highest rate in football.

Last year, the weak Cowboys defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a staggering 8.66 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Eagles, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 49.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

Jahan Dotson has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of just 5.2% last year, which places him in the 21st percentile when it comes to WRs.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 7th-worst in the league last year.

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