Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jahan Dotson

NFL · Player Props

Jahan Dotson

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 66.2% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.
The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
After totaling 78.0 air yards per game last year, Jahan Dotson has undergone a big decline this year, currently averaging 53.0 per game.
Jahan Dotson's 35.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 44.0.
Jahan Dotson's 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 64.4% mark.
Jahan Dotson's 7.0 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a material drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 9.4 mark.

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