Jahan Dotson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jahan Dotson

NFL · Player Props

Jahan Dotson

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving TD

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:25 PM EST

Analysis

Jahan Dotson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-407).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +263 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Washington Commanders offensive line has given their QB 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Jahan Dotson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (19.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (33.3% in games he has played).
The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Jahan Dotson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow