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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+560/-710).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +580 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +560.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals may pass less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett.
  • This week's line implies a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 62.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.5% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the model to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-highest number on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast Jacoby Brissett to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's contest (13.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.5% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Cardinals ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Jacoby Brissett ranks as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a 61.3% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 18th percentile.

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