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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jacoby Brissett.

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals as the 2nd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 10th-most plays in the league have been run by the Cardinals this year (a massive 58.5 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 125.7 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

Jacoby Brissett has been one of the least on-target QBs in football this year with a 58.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 18th percentile.

With an awful ratio of only 0.40 per game (9th percentile), Jacoby Brissett stands as one of the weakest touchdown throwers in football since the start of last season.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

More Jacoby Brissett Player Props

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