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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-300/+210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -280 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a giant 10-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (63.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.5 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • This year, the tough Texans defense has given up a puny 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.
  • The Texans defense has surrendered the fewest TDs through the air in the NFL: 0.92 per game this year.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Houston's group of CBs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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