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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a colossal 60.2 per game on average).
  • After accounting for 5.6% of his team's rush attempts last season, Jacoby Brissett has been called on more in the running game this season, currently taking on 12.7%.
  • With an impressive rate of 2.07 yards-after-contact (75th percentile), Jacoby Brissett ranks as one of the leading running QBs in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are a heavy 14.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 31.9% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may decline.
  • The predictive model expects Jacoby Brissett to accrue 2.7 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 12th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Jacoby Brissett's running efficiency has diminished this year, compiling a mere 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.42 rate last year.

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