My Account Log Out
 
 
Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.3 total plays called: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a massive 61.3 per game on average).
  • After accounting for 5.6% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Jacoby Brissett has had a larger role in the run game this season, now taking on 14.1%.
  • With an exceptional tally of 2.11 yards-after-contact (78th percentile), Jacoby Brissett stands as one of the top running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles rank as the worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to run on 37.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced run volume.
  • Jacoby Brissett's rushing effectiveness has diminished this season, notching a mere 3.94 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.42 mark last season.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™