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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.5 plays per game.
  • After taking on 5.6% of his team's run game usage last season, Jacoby Brissett has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, currently taking on 13.7%.
  • Jacoby Brissett rates as one of the leading QBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a fantastic 2.22 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are a giant 10-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 33.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Jacoby Brissett's running efficiency has worsened this season, notching just 4.24 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.42 rate last season.
  • This year, the imposing Texans run defense has conceded a puny 89.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 4th-fewest in football.

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