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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.8 plays per game.
  • After making up 5.6% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Jacoby Brissett has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, currently accounting for 12.5%.
  • With a remarkable rate of 2.49 yards-after-contact (86th percentile), Jacoby Brissett stands as one of the top running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to run on 33.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jacoby Brissett's ground effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating a measly 4.26 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.42 figure last year.

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