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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • Jacoby Brissett has been much more involved in his team's run game this season (12.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (5.6%).
  • With a fantastic total of 2.57 yards-after-contact (87th percentile), Jacoby Brissett ranks as one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.
  • The Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the 4th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to run on 37.6% of their downs: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Jacoby Brissett's ground effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching a measly 4.17 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.42 mark last year.
  • This year, the fierce Tampa Bay Buccaneers run defense has yielded a mere 100.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 10th-fewest in football.

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