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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.7% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to be a more important option in his team's running game this week (14.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.4% in games he has played).

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the best in football this year at opening holes for runners.

Jacoby Brissett has rushed for significantly more yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).

Jacoby Brissett's ground efficiency has gotten better this year, totaling 5.04 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.65 figure last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing squads have run for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 109 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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