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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 248.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 248.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 248.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The model projects the Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • This year, the daunting Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 66.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 6th-lowest rate in football.
  • This year, the tough Jaguars defense has conceded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a paltry 7.3 yards.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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