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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Completions
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Jacoby Brissett's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 60.2% to 66.4%.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their quarterback 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 30.0 passes in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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