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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.3 total plays called: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a massive 61.3 per game on average).
  • After accounting for 5.6% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Jacoby Brissett has had a larger role in the run game this season, now taking on 14.1%.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles rank as the worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to run on 37.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced run volume.

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