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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.5 plays per game.
  • After taking on 5.6% of his team's run game usage last season, Jacoby Brissett has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, currently taking on 13.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are a giant 10-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 33.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Houston's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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