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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +182 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.4% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Isiah Pacheco grades out in the 83rd percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.14 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Isiah Pacheco to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack near the end zone this week (43.4% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (29.4% in games he has played).
  • Isiah Pacheco has posted a meager -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among running backs.
  • Isiah Pacheco's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 73.0% to 64.5%.

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