|
|
Isiah Pacheco Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-260).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +275 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +240.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.Isiah Pacheco has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 9.7% this year, which puts him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.With an excellent rate of 0.17 per game through the air (87th percentile), Isiah Pacheco places as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to RBs this year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.When it comes to air yards, Isiah Pacheco ranks in just the 12th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -6.0 per game.With a lackluster 75.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (19th percentile) this year, Isiah Pacheco rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to RBs.This year, the stout Lions defense has conceded a puny 65.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.The Lions defense has conceded the fewest receiving touchdowns in the league to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
