My Account Log Out
 
 
Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.9% red zone pass rate.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • While Isiah Pacheco has garnered 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Kansas City's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 5.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all RBs, Isiah Pacheco ranks in the 75th percentile for red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, making up 37.7% of the usage in his offense's run game near the goal line.
  • Isiah Pacheco has accrued a mere -4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 5th percentile among RBs.
  • Isiah Pacheco's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 73.1% to 64.6%.
  • The receiving TD line reads "0" on Isiah Pacheco's box scores since the start of last season.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's unit has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™