|
|
Isiah Pacheco Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-580).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -680 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -580.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to start backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.The Chiefs are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Right now, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.7% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 133.1 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Isiah Pacheco has accumulated a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 20th percentile among RBs.Isiah Pacheco profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in just 72.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.This year, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has yielded a puny 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in football.When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Denver's DE corps has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
