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Isiah Pacheco Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-420).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -390 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -420.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 61.5% red zone pass rate.

The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.

The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

This year, the deficient Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

When talking about air yards, Isiah Pacheco ranks in the paltry 17th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.

Isiah Pacheco's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 73.1% to 68.1%.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most TDs in the NFL (1.36 per game) against the Titans defense this year.

More Isiah Pacheco Player Props

Isiah Pacheco TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16