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Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.After accounting for 50.3% of his team's carries last season, Isiah Pacheco has had a smaller role in the rushing attack this season, currently comprising only 35.2%.Isiah Pacheco's 30.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a remarkable regression in his rushing skills over last year's 45.0 mark.Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 79.0 per game) against the Jaguars defense this year.As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Jacksonville's safety corps has been excellent this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.
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