Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 3, 2025

Updated Sep 22, 2025 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.
The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (143 per game) against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
After comprising 50.3% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Isiah Pacheco has been called on less the run game this season, now accounting for just 34.9%.
The Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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