Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

My Account Log Out

reorder

Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 22, 2025 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
This year, the poor Titans run defense has yielded a massive 131.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 8th-worst in football.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Isiah Pacheco has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this year (36.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (50.3%).
Isiah Pacheco has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (45.0).
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

More Isiah Pacheco Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow