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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
  • This year, the poor Titans run defense has yielded a massive 131.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 8th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Isiah Pacheco has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this year (36.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (50.3%).
  • Isiah Pacheco has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (45.0).
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

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