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Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chiefs are anticipated by the projection model to run 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to run on 39.2% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Isiah Pacheco has been a less important option in his team's run game this season (36.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (50.3%).

Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 88.0 per game) versus the Texans defense this year.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Houston's collection of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

More Isiah Pacheco Player Props

Isiah Pacheco Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14