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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 132.5 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 35.8% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Isiah Pacheco has been a less important option in his team's rushing attack this year (48.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (64.1%).
  • Isiah Pacheco has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).
  • Isiah Pacheco's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this season signifies a noteable diminishment in his running talent over last season's 4.7 mark.

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