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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to start backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Chiefs are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 133.1 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chiefs this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Isiah Pacheco profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in just 72.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
  • This year, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has yielded a puny 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in football.
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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