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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -215 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +158.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
  • Isiah Pacheco has been more involved as a potential target this year (47.4% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (33.5%).
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 8th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Isiah Pacheco's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 73.1% to 68.1%.

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